The Great Powers and Global Struggle, 1490-1990

Przednia okładka
University Press of Kentucky, 1994 - 275
 

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Spis treści

Ascent Decline Transition and War
1
2 Tracing the Rise and Fall of Regional and Global Powers
15
3 Global and Regional Transitions
38
4 Concentration and Transitional Warfare
58
5 Innovation Decline and War
73
6 Perspectives on Overconsumption and Decline
98
7 The Case against Tradeoffs as a Primary Cause of Decline
122
8 Observations on Overextension and Territorial Traps
143
1O The Future of Transitional Warfare
173
Appendix A The Army Data and Sources
192
Appendix B Identifying Systemic Wars
200
Appendix C CrossCorrelations Time Series Regressions and Coefficients Derived from Vector Autoregression
226
Notes
236
References
247
Index
269
Prawa autorskie

9 The Model Recapitulated
157

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Popularne fragmenty

Strona xv - US must show the leadership necessary to establish and protect a new order that holds the promise of convincing potential competitors that they need not aspire to a greater role or pursue a more aggressive posture to protect their legitimate interests.
Strona xv - Second, in the non-defense areas, we must account sufficiently for the interests of the advanced industrial nations to discourage them from challenging our leadership or seeking to overturn the established political and economic order. Finally, we must maintain the mechanisms for deterring potential competitors from even aspiring to a larger regional or global role.
Strona xv - Our first objective is to prevent the re-emergence of a new rival, either on the territory of the former Soviet Union or elsewhere, that poses a threat of the order of that posed formerly by the Soviet Union.
Strona xvi - The third goal is to preclude any hostile power from dominating a region critical to our interests, and also thereby to strengthen the barriers against the re-emergence of a global threat to the interests of the US and our allies.

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